Forecasts of Y2K Consequences

A Symposium at the 
European Meeting on Cybernetics and Systems Research 

Vienna, Austria, April 25-28, 2000 

The year 2000 computer crisis (y2k) produced a wide range of forecasts of what would happen on January 1, 2000. The high level of uncertainty surrounding the event and its consequences presented a unique opportunity to test social science theories, forecasting methods, and action research strategies. In terms of research, y2k was an unprecedented opportunity. It appeared that the interconnections within modern society would be revealed as never before. Those engaged in efforts to increase awareness and to prepare organizations were asked to describe what they did, why they chose the methods they chose, what they expected to happen, and how their expectations were confirmed or refuted. Papers by authors from different countries could be compared. One hypothesis is that papers by Americans would be pragmatic and action oriented whereas papers by continental Europeans would be more abstract or theoretical. 

This symposium on the year 2000 computer crisis was held as part of the European Meeting on Cybernetics and Systems Research. Drafts of papers were due in October, 1999. Final papers were prepared in January, 2000.  The conference was held in April, 2000.

List of Papers:

"Melting Snow: Run-off from the Heights of System Forcasts"
Paul Ballonoff

"Disconnected at the Midnight?" 
Garry Marshall

"A Y2K Point of View on Economic and Cultural Developments in the US and Russia"
Vladimir Pozdniakov and Stuart Umpleby

"The Y2K Problem and the Law of Requisite Holism"
Matjaz Mulej and Vojkop Potocan

"The Impact of the Y2K Bug: Perception and Reality"
Peter Bock, Antonio Sanchez and Alan Dunn, 

"Some Implications of the Year 2000 Computer Crisis for Academic Disciplines"
Stuart Umpleby