|
Oct. 5, 2004
Convention Bounce Pushes Bush Ahead of Kerry
President George W. Bush received sufficient bounce from the Republican
National Convention to pull slightly ahead of Democratic nominee Sen.
John F. Kerry (D–MA) according to the most recent figures released
by The George Washington University Battleground 2004 Poll.
Voters favor Bush 49 percent
to 45 percent for Kerry. This survey finds, however, that 53 percent of
likely voters still believe that the country is on the wrong track, and
Bush’s approval rating has remained flat — hovering just over
50 percent — since early spring.
The past few weeks of the campaign have had a negative impact on the image
of Kerry. Forty-nine percent of likely voters hold a favorable view of
him — a six-point decrease in his favorable score since the last
poll in August.
“The campaign in August left Kerry with negatives almost as high
as his positives — 49 percent favorable, 46 percent unfavorable,”
said Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, president of Lake Snell Perry and
Associates. “Bush also has a 19-point advantage on being a strong
leader and, despite bad news, Bush has pulled ahead on doing a better
job in Iraq (+16 points). Kerry must continue to assure voters he has
a plan for Iraq and getting out of Iraq, and he will have to articulate
that plan.”
This bipartisan poll surveyed 1,000 registered, likely voters nationwide
between Sept. 12–15, and has a margin of error of ±3.1 percent.
As the campaign enters the stretch run, the nationally recognized survey
guided by the GW’s Graduate School of Political Management and conducted
by top polling firms Lake Snell Perry and Associates and The Tarrance
Group, is scheduled to publish weekly updates available on the GW News
Center at www.gwu.edu/~newsctr/
2004elections.html.
Send feedback to: bygeorge@gwu.edu
|
|
Related Link
GW's
2004 Politics and Policy Central
|
