Republican Jewish Coalition PRESS
VOTE CONTINUES TO TREND REPUBLICAN
Contact: Matthew Brooks
Wednesday, November 3, 2004
DC… Based on several exit polls recently released, it is clear that
President Bush did substantially better among Jewish voters this year
than he did in 2000. From 1992 to today we’ve seen more than a 100%
increase in the Jewish Republican vote.
The trend is unmistakable:
- In 1992, President Bush (41) won 11% of the Jewish vote
- In 1996, Senator Dole won 16% of the Jewish vote
- In 2000, President Bush (43) won 19% of the Jewish vote
- In 2004, preliminary results indicate George W. Bush received
likely support of 25% (a 32% increase over 2000).
This is a clear and irrefutable trend demonstrating continued
increasing support for Republican candidates in the Jewish community.
To further highlight this point, here are some undisputed
facts. It is clear that President Bush increased his share of the
Jewish vote from 2000 by 32%, a substantial increase. According to
available data, no other ethnic, religious, or racial group increased
its support for the President by this large a percentage. Despite an
unprecedented, massive effort on the part of the Democratic Party, the
Kerry-Edwards campaign, and related support groups, Kerry did worse
among Jewish voters than any Democratic presidential candidate in the
last 12 years.
Looking to the future, we are optimistic that this trend will
continue, for three reasons:
- The Republican Party has demonstrated that it not only has become
the “pro-Israel party,” but it is committed to building and expanding
its support in the Jewish community.
- Demographic trends are favorable to the Republicans –
younger Jewish voters are more inclined to vote Republican. In fact,
preliminary results indicate that 32% of Jews ages 18-49 supported
Bush. In addition, the foundation of the traditional Democratic Jewish
base, senior citizens, is shrinking in numbers.
- The Jewish community, according to several analyses, is
becoming more religious. The Orthodox community, which represents a
solid base of support for Republicans among Jews, is becoming larger
within the Jewish community.
Taken together, these factors equal a positive outlook for
Republicans and a troubling outlook for Democrats.